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An Analysis of Potato Exports to Nepal (2024-2025). The global potato trade is often dominated by narratives surrounding major processing nations like Belgium, the Netherlands, and the United States. However, a significant and consistent trade dynamic exists in South Asia, specifically between the potato powerhouse of India and its mountainous neighbor, Nepal. While Nepal is a substantial producer of potatoes in its own right, it remains heavily reliant on imports to meet domestic consumption needs. Based on trade data from late 2024 through late 2025, Nepal has solidified its position as the primary destination for Indian fresh potatoes, providing a stabilizing force for Indian exporters amidst fluctuating demand from other global regions. Domestic Production Context To understand the export market, one must first look at Nepal’s domestic capacity. Nepal is a significant player in the global potato sector. In 2023, the country produced 3.48 million tonnes of potatoes. This marked a steady increase in production capabilities, representing a 2.3% increase over 2022 levels, and a continuation of growth from 2.69 million tonnes in 2017. The scale of Nepal’s production is impressive given its topography. As the location of the highest point in the world, Nepal’s ability to grow nearly 3.5 million tonnes of tubers highlights the crop’s resilience and importance to the local diet. The land area dedicated to potato cultivation in Nepal has also seen expansion. By 2023, the harvested area had reached approximately 211,505 hectares, an increase of 3.8% from the previous year. Despite this robust domestic output, the consumption demands of the population exceed local supply, necessitating substantial imports. This deficit creates a vital trade corridor, primarily supplied by India, the world’s second-largest potato producer. The India-Nepal Trade Corridor: A Year in Review Throughout the 2024 and 2025 calendar years, Nepal consistently appeared as the top destination for Indian fresh (ware) potatoes. While Indian exporters successfully diversified into the Middle East and Southeast Asia for frozen products, the fresh trade remained regionally focused, with Nepal acting as the anchor market. Late 2024: The Anchor Market By the end of 2024, the reliance on the Nepalese market was evident. In the 12 months ending November 2024, India exported 219,711 tonnes of fresh potatoes to Nepal. Although this represented a 16.5% decrease compared to the previous year, Nepal remained the largest single market for Indian tubers. In November 2024 alone, exports to Nepal stood at 28,818 tonnes, a figure almost identical to the same month in the previous year, indicating a stable, baseline demand that persists regardless of broader market volatility. Early 2025: A Strong Start As the calendar turned to 2025, the trade volume surged. In January 2025, Indian exports to Nepal reached 15,559 tonnes. This was a significant 53.3% increase compared to January 2024. This surge occurred even as Indian exports to other neighbors faced challenges; for example, exports to Bangladesh were nonexistent in the same month. This highlighted Nepal’s role as a reliable partner during periods when other regional markets might be inaccessible or fluctuating. By March 2025, the trade momentum continued. Nepal imported 9,022 tonnes of Indian potatoes, a 12.4% increase compared to March 2024. At this stage in the season, cumulative 12-month exports to Nepal stood at 238,198 tonnes, maintaining a consistent level with the previous year’s 236,881 tonnes. Spring 2025: Seasonal Adjustments and Price Pressures The second quarter of 2025 saw a temporary contraction in trade volumes, likely influenced by seasonal harvest patterns and rising export prices. In April 2025, exports to Nepal dipped to 7,445 tonnes, a 23.7% decrease compared to April 2024. Despite the drop in volume, Nepal retained its position as the top destination. This period coincided with rising prices for Indian potatoes. The average export price to Nepal in April 2025 was ₹13,161 per tonne (approximately US$154), which was 10.8% higher than the price a year prior. The downward trend in volume continued into May 2025. Exports dropped to 5,749 tonnes, a sharp 49.3% decline compared to the 11,334 tonnes shipped in May 2024. This reduction occurred within the context of a general slowdown in Indian ware exports, which fell 4.9% overall in the 12 months leading to June 2025. However, even with reduced volumes, Nepal accounted for nearly half (47.2%) of all Indian ware exports over the 12 months ending in May, totaling 230,294 tonnes. This statistic underscores that even when trade slows, the Nepalese market remains the backbone of the Indian fresh potato export sector. Summer 2025: Recovery and Dominance The market rebounded strongly as the year progressed into the summer. July 2025 marked a significant recovery. Exports to Nepal climbed to 15,026 tonnes, accounting for 42% of India’s total ware exports for the month. While this specific monthly figure was slightly lower (-2.5%) than July 2024, it signaled a return to high-volume trade. By September 2025, Nepal was absorbing massive quantities of Indian product. Exports for the month hit 32,651 tonnes. Although this was a slight 4.0% decrease from the high bar set in September 2023, it reinforced the critical nature of this trade route. For the 12 months ending September 2025, total exports to Nepal stabilized at 228,511 tonnes, virtually unchanged (+0.1%) from the previous year. Price Sensitivity and Market Dynamics The flow of potatoes into Nepal is sensitive to price fluctuations, though the essential nature of the commodity ensures that trade never halts completely. Throughout 2025, Indian export prices saw an upward trajectory before stabilizing. In April 2025, the price for exports to Nepal was ₹13,161/tonne. As the year progressed, prices moderated. By July 2025, the export price to Nepal was recorded at ₹11,980/tonne (approx. US$135). This was a slight increase of ₹340 from June, yet Nepal continued to import over 15,000 tonnes, demonstrating that demand is relatively inelastic within a certain price band. By September 2025, the price had adjusted further to ₹11,804/tonne (approx. US$132). This stabilization in price likely supported the high volumes observed in the latter half of the year. Comparative Importance of the Nepalese Market To fully appreciate the importance of the potato trade with Nepal, it must be viewed in contrast to India’s other export destinations. Reliability vs. Volatility: While Nepal provided a steady stream of orders throughout 2024 and 2025, other markets proved volatile. Bangladesh, previously a major buyer, completely ceased imports in months like May and September 2025. In contrast, Nepal consistently absorbed between 5,000 and 32,000 tonnes per month depending on the season. Volume vs. Value: While markets in the Gulf (Oman, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait) pay significantly higher prices per tonne—often double or triple the price paid by Nepal—they purchase much smaller volumes. For example, in July 2025, while Nepal bought over 15,000 tonnes at ₹11,980/tonne, Kuwait bought 2,014 tonnes at ₹25,274/tonne. Nepal acts as the volume driver, clearing large quantities of stock, while the Gulf markets serve as high-value destinations. Market Share: By late 2025, Nepal accounted for nearly half of all Indian fresh potato sales. In the year ending May 2025, Nepal took 230,294 tonnes out of a total 487,552 tonnes exported by India. Summary The data from the 2024-2025 period illustrates a symbiotic relationship between Indian potato producers and Nepalese consumers. Nepal, despite achieving record domestic production of nearly 3.5 million tonnes, relies on imports to bridge the gap between supply and demand. For India, Nepal serves as an indispensable outlet for its fresh potato crop. While the Indian industry successfully pursued high-value frozen fry markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, the fresh potato trade remained firmly anchored in the Himalayas. With annual volumes holding steady around 228,000 to 230,000 tonnes despite price fluctuations and seasonal variations, the export line to Nepal remains the most critical artery for India’s table potato sector. As India continues to produce bumper crops—surpassing 60 million tonnes in 2025—the stability of the Nepalese market will remain essential for managing supply and maintaining price equilibrium for Indian farmers. Read here: India’s Fresh Potato Exports in 2024

नेपाल के लिए आलू निर्यात का विश्लेषण (2024-2025) वैश्विक आलू व्यापार अक्सर बेल्जियम, नीदरलैंड्स और संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका जैसे प्रमुख प्रसंस्करण देशों के इर्द-गिर्द घूमने वाली कथाओं से संचालित रहता है। हालांकि, दक्षिण एशिया में एक महत्वपूर्ण और स्थिर व्यापार गतिशीलता मौजूद है, विशेषकर भारत के आलू‑शक्तिशाली बल और उसके पहाड़ी पड़ोसी नेपाल के बीच। जहाँ नेपाल अपने आप में एक बड़ा आलू उत्पादक है, वहाँ घरेलू खपत की आवश्यकताओं को पूरा करने के लिए यह आयातों पर भारी निर्भर रहता है। 2024 के अंत से 2025 केEnd तक के व्यापार डेटा के आधार पर, नेपाल भारतीय ताजा आलुओं के लिए प्रमुख गंतव्य के रूप में अपनी स्थिति मजबूत कर चुका है, अन्य वैश्विक क्षेत्रों से मांग के उतार-चढ़ाव के बीच भारतीय निर्यातकों के लिए स्थिरता का एक स्रोत बनते हुए। घरेलू उत्पादन संदर्भ निर्यात बाज़ार को समझने के लिए सबसे पहले नेपाल की घरेलू क्षमता को देखना जरूरी है. नेपाल वैश्विक आलू क्षेत्र का एक महत्वपूर्ण खिलाड़ी है। 2023 में देश ने 3.48 मिलियन टन आलू पैदा किए। यह उत्पादन क्षमता में निरंतर वृद्धि दर्शाता है, जो 2022 के स्तर से 2.3%...
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The Story of McPatel Foods: A Partnership Forged in Europe. McPatel Foods emerged in 2023 from a shared vision among four founders aimed at revolutionizing the frozen food sector within the Indian market. The company’s vision, conceived collectively by the four directors and founders—Karan Sarodia, Aditya Patel, Kirit Haraniya, and Jignesh Patel—was explicitly defined to provide the best quality products to Indian customers while simultaneously focusing on the export market. The company established its operations specifically focusing on frozen French fries. The creation of McPatel Foods was the result of a singular, impactful trip undertaken by the four directors. They were already acquainted, coming from different industries. This pivotal moment occurred when they all attended the Anuga Europe trade fair, in late 2023, with the intention of exploring the frozen food market. It was during this exploration that the idea for McPatel Foods was conceived, leading to the birth of the company. Founders attribute the company’s existence directly to this journey, stating that if the Anuga trip had not happened, the company likely would not be where it is today. Following the trip, the founders collectively decided to establish the company and introduce their brand for processed potato products to the market. Corporate Identity and Director Insight The name “Mc Patel” itself reflects a core aspect of the company’s identity, as the founders “belong to the Patel family”. The directors, whose home state is Gujarat, leverage their local heritage and connections. Their background allows them to have a strong “connect and reach with the farmers and with everyone”. The directors are not only founders but are deeply invested in the operational side, particularly concerning raw material sourcing and farming relationships. Vision, Implementation, and Rapid Growth Despite being a young company, McPatel demonstrated rapid execution, a hallmark of their early operations. With a strong vision, the company initiated its production facility within a year of its inception, ensuring the facility was equipped with “all the best-in-class machineries”. They successfully launched both domestic and export sales within the year of starting production. The current production facility demonstrates a significant capacity even in its initial phase. The facility currently utilizes raw potatoes at a rate of 10 to 12 tons per hour. This raw material consumption translates into finished goods output of 5 tons per hour of frozen French fries. Additionally, recognizing the complementary nature of potato processing, McPatel also established a line for dehydrated potato flakes, currently running at a capacity of 500 kg per hour. Deep Commitment to Contract Farming A critical element of McPatel’s operation and philosophy is its integrated approach to raw material sourcing, centred on contract farming. Given that the founders belong to the Patel family and are closely connected to the farming community, this relationship is foundational. McPatel actively engages in contract farming with producers in Gujarat and neighbouring states. This partnership goes beyond simple purchasing; the company provides significant support to the farmers. Specifically, McPatel helps farmers grow by supplying essential raw materials, such as the specialized potato seeds needed for processing. Furthermore, the company aids them with knowledge regarding plantations and farming techniques. The commitment is cemented by a buy-back agreement, where McPatel purchases the raw potatoes produced under these contracts for use in their factories. This strategy ensures a consistent, high-quality supply of potatoes necessary for best-in-class frozen products. The company has emphasized its plan to “grow with our farmers”. Ambitious Future Expansion Plans McPatel Foods has laid out highly ambitious expansion goals slated for implementation within the coming three years. This expansion is multifaceted, targeting increased raw material handling, greater output of existing products, and diversification into new product lines. The planned expansion will dramatically increase the raw potato processing capability. The current consumption of 10 to 12 tons of raw material per hour is intended to expand substantially, reaching a future capacity of 40 to 50 tons of raw material (potatoes) per hour. In terms of finished goods, the frozen French fries line will see a major upgrade. An additional production line is planned, which will add approximately 20 tons per hour of capacity for frozen French fries. Complementing this, the dehydrated potato flake line is also set for expansion, targeting an increased capacity up to 1.2 tons per hour. Significantly, the expansion includes diversification into specialized products. The company plans to introduce a potato speciality line, which will include products such as hash browns, burger patties , aloo Tikki, and other potato speciality products. This comprehensive expansion plan, projected to be completed within two years, underlines McPatel’s commitment to capturing a larger share of the developing Indian frozen food market.

मैकपटेल फूड्स की कहानी: यूरोप में एक साझेदारी का निर्माण मैकपटेल फूड्स 2023 में चार संस्थापकों के बीच साझा दृष्टिकोण से उभरा, जिसका उद्देश्य भारतीय बाजार में जमी हुई खाद्य पदार्थों के क्षेत्र में क्रांति लाना था। कंपनी का दृष्टिकोण, जिसे चार निदेशकों और संस्थापकों — करण सारोड़िया, आदित्य पटेल, कीरत हरनिया, और जिनेश पटेल — द्वारा सामूहिक रूप से विकसित किया गया था, को स्पष्ट रूप से परिभाषित किया गया था ताकि भारतीय ग्राहकों को सर्वोत्तम गुणवत्ता वाले उत्पाद प्रदान किए जा सकें, साथ ही निर्यात बाजार पर भी ध्यान केंद्रित किया जा सके। कंपनी ने विशेष रूप से जमी हुई आलू फ्राइज़ पर ध्यान केंद्रित करते हुए अपने संचालन की स्थापना की। मैकपटेल फूड्स का निर्माण चार निदेशकों द्वारा किए गए एक विशेष, प्रभावशाली यात्रा का परिणाम था। वे पहले से ही अलग-अलग उद्योगों से परिचित थे। यह महत्वपूर्ण क्षण तब हुआ जब वे सभी 2023 के अंत में अनुगा यूरोप व्यापार मेले में भाग लेने गए, जिसका उद्देश्य जमी हुई खाद्य पदार्थों के बाजार का अन्वेषण करना था। इसी अन्वेषण के दौरान मैकपटेल फूड्स का विचार उत्पन्न हुआ, जिससे कंपनी क...
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Annual Report: The Indian Potato Sector in 2025. The global potato market witnessed a seismic shift in 2025, defined not by the traditional powerhouses of Northern Europe or North America, but by the aggressive ascent of India. Long established as the world’s second-largest producer of tubers, India’s role in the global trade matrix underwent a fundamental transformation throughout the calendar year 2025. No longer content with merely supplying fresh table potatoes to immediate The global potato market witnessed a seismic shift in 2025, defined not by the traditional powerhouses of Northern Europe or North America, but by the aggressive ascent of India. Long established as the world’s second-largest producer of tubers, India’s role in the global trade matrix underwent a fundamental transformation throughout the calendar year. No longer content with merely supplying fresh table potatoes to immediate neighbours, the Indian industry leveraged a record harvest and highly competitive pricing to disrupt the global frozen french fry market. By undercutting established European and North American suppliers, India carved out significant market share across Asia and the Middle East, signalling its arrival as a top-tier competitor in the value-added processing sector. Production Landscape: A Foundation for Growth The bedrock of India’s 2025 trade performance was a robust production base. Official figures released by India’s Agriculture Ministry in June 2025 pegged the 2024/25 production at 58.1 million tonnes. This  output provided the raw material necessary to fuel an expanding processing sector while maintaining domestic food security. Link Connect Now This abundance was critical as it allowed Indian exporters to maintain volume despite fluctuations in regional harvests. While weather conditions challenged growers in some specific regions, the overall national output remained resilient, cementing India’s status as the only country producing over 33 million tonnes more than its nearest rival (excluding China),. This massive volume of raw material provided the necessary scale to support a burgeoning export strategy focused on aggressive price competitiveness. The Frozen Fry Export Boom The defining narrative of the Indian potato industry in calendar year 2025 was the unprecedented expansion of its frozen french fry exports. The year was characterised by a succession of broken records as Indian processors looked outward. The momentum began early in the year. In February 2025, frozen fry exports broke the 20,000-tonne barrier for the first time, reaching 20,284 tonnes—a 46.1% increase over the same month in the previous year. This upward trend accelerated into March, setting a new record of 22,098 tonnes, a 10.7% increase year-on-year. However, the peak of this export drive occurred in the summer. July 2025 saw Indian fry exports hit a new all-time high of 25,318 tonnes, a staggering 77.5% increase compared to July 2024. Even as the year progressed, volumes remained historically high; August saw shipments of 24,659 tonnes, and September maintained momentum with 24,589 tonnes. Link By the end of September 2025, India’s 12-month export total had reached 234,056 tonnes, marking a 43.9% increase over the previous year. This surge in volume was accompanied by a significant rise in value; the 12-month export earnings reached a record ₹22.2 billion. The Strategy of Price Competitiveness India’s rapid expansion into global markets was driven primarily by a strategy of aggressive pricing. As European and North American suppliers grappled with high input costs and currency fluctuations, India consistently offered substantially lower prices. Throughout 2025, Indian export prices trended downward, making their products increasingly attractive to price-sensitive markets. In February, the average export price was ₹97,195/tonne, down 7.3% on the previous year. By May, the price had fallen further to ₹94,272/tonne, and by July, it dropped to ₹91,686/tonne—a 6.8% decrease year-on-year. By September 2025, the average export price held steady at ₹91,847/tonne, which was 3.5% lower than the previous year. This pricing strategy was instrumental in capturing market share; for example, in May, India offered fries to Malaysia at ₹98,616/tonne, and to Saudi Arabia at a highly competitive ₹88,792/tonne. Market Diversification: Conquering the Middle East While Southeast Asia remained a stronghold, the most dramatic shifts in 2025 occurred in the Middle East. Indian exporters successfully targeted the Gulf states, capitalizing on geographic proximity and pricing to displace European dominance. Saudi Arabia emerged as a star market for Indian processors. In the 12 months leading to August 2025, exports to Saudi Arabia skyrocketed by 314% to reach 20,377 tonnes. In July alone, Saudi Arabia imported 3,253 tonnes of Indian fries, an 885% increase compared to the same month the previous year. This surge was facilitated by a highly competitive price point of ₹81,537/tonne, significantly undercutting competitors. By September 2025, sales to Saudi Arabia for the month reached 5,185 tonnes, a 184% increase year-on-year, with prices dropping further to ₹78,837/tonne,. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) showed a similar appetite for Indian product. Annual sales to the UAE exploded by over 406% to 15,358 tonnes by August. In February alone, exports to the UAE jumped by 706%. By September 2025, India had firmly established itself as a critical supplier to the region, exporting 17,295 tonnes over the 12-month period, a 133% increase. The Battle for Southeast Asia In Southeast Asia, India engaged in fierce competition with China to fill the vacuum left by higher-priced US and European products. Link The Philippines remained India’s largest single export market. Despite intense pressure from Chinese suppliers, India maintained a strong foothold. In July 2025, sales to the Philippines surged by 141.8% to 7,129 tonnes, driven by a price reduction to ₹86,908/tonne. Over the 12 months ending in September 2025, the Philippines absorbed 57,200 tonnes of Indian fries, representing a 25.0% increase. Malaysia proved to be a major growth area. Indian exports to Malaysia increased by 222% in the year ending December 2024. This trend continued through 2025; in September alone, sales to Malaysia rose by 153.1% to 2,984 tonnes. By offering prices such as ₹92,416/tonne in July, India successfully competed for market share against other low-cost suppliers. However, the Thai market proved more difficult. Exports to Thailand fell by 52.0% in the year ending July 2025, dropping to 19,313 tonnes. In May 2025, sales to Thailand plummeted by 65.9%. This indicated that while India was highly competitive against Western suppliers, it faced a fierce battle in specific Asian markets where prices remained relatively high at ₹100,731/tonne in July. New Frontiers: Japan and Beyond Perhaps the most significant indicator of India’s rising quality standards was its breakthrough into the Japanese market—traditionally the reserve of high-quality US products. In the year ending August 2025, Indian fry exports to Japan surged by 112% to 10,815 tonnes. In September 2025, shipments to Japan jumped by 68.5% to 1,415 tonnes. Even in the highly discerning South Korean market, India began to make inroads, exporting 151 tonnes in September 2025, a 55.7% increase. The Fresh (Ware) Potato Trade While the processing sector grabbed headlines, the trade in fresh (ware) potatoes remained a vital component of the Indian potato economy, characterised by high volumes but fluctuating demand from key neighbours. In the 2024 calendar year, India achieved record ware exports of 536,138 tonnes. However, as 2025 progressed, the sector faced headwinds. By August 2025, annual ware exports had dipped by 3.9% to 490,008 tonnes. This decline was largely attributed to the loss of the Bangladesh market. In 2024, Bangladesh had been a major buyer, but in 2025, demand evaporated, with zero exports recorded in months like April and September. Conversely, Nepal solidified its position as the primary destination for Indian fresh potatoes. Nepal consistently absorbed large volumes, accounting for nearly half of all sales. In July 2025, Nepal purchased 15,026 tonnes, representing 42% of India’s total ware exports for the month. The Gulf region also remained a critical outlet for fresh potatoes. Oman consolidated its position as India’s second-largest market, with annual purchases rising 17.6% to 55,249 tonnes by April. Kuwait and the UAE also increased their intake, undeterred by rising prices. For example, in May 2025, the average export price for Indian ware potatoes reached a record ₹24,003/tonne. Dehydrated Products and Starch Beyond fries and fresh tubers, India continued to expand its footprint in the dehydrated potato sector (flakes and flour). This sector provided a crucial outlet for surplus production and further diversified India’s export portfolio. India made significant gains in the European market for dehydrated products, capitalizing on shortages and high prices within the EU. In the year ending October 2024, India exported 40,672 tonnes of flakes and flour, a 17.0% increase. India’s flake exports to Asian neighbors also surged. Exports to Malaysia rose by nearly 48% to 12,795 tonnes and to the Philippines by 43.8% to 4,688 tonnes in the 2023/24 period. The 2025 Calendar Year The calendar year 2025 marked a definitive turning point for the Indian potato industry. No longer a sleeping giant restricted to domestic consumption and regional fresh trade, India emerged as a structural competitor in the global processed potato market. By leveraging a record harvest and maintaining aggressively low export prices—often significantly lower than Western competitors—India successfully captured market share in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. The explosion in frozen fry exports, reaching over 234,000 tonnes annually by September, combined with sustained fresh exports to Nepal and the Gulf, demonstrates a resilience and ambition that has reshaped global trade flows. As European and North American suppliers grappled with tariffs, high costs, and stagnant demand, India filled the void. While challenges remain in stabilizing farm-gate prices and managing regional competition with China, the performance of 2025 confirmed that the Indian potato industry has successfully pivoted toward a value-added, export-oriented future.

वार्षिक रिपोर्ट: भारतीय आलू क्षेत्र 2025 में वैश्विक आलू बाजार ने 2025 में एक बड़ा बदलाव देखा, जो उत्तरी यूरोप या उत्तरी अमेरिका के पारंपरिक शक्तियों द्वारा नहीं बल्कि भारत के आक्रामक उभार से परिभाषित हुआ। लंबे समय से कंद उत्पादों का दुनिया का दूसरा-largest उत्पादक रहने के नाते, भारत की वैश्विक व्यापार मैट्रिक्स में भूमिका ने 2025 के कैलेंडर वर्ष के दौरान एक मूलभूत परिवर्तन किया। अब तक केवल पड़ोसी देशों को ताजा आलू की आपूर्ति करके संतुष्ट नहीं रहा, भारतीय उद्योग ने एक रिकॉर्ड फसल और अत्यधिक प्रतिस्पर्धात्मक कीमतों का लाभ उठाते हुए वैश्विक फ्रीज़ फ्राई बाजार को बाधित किया। स्थापित यूरोपीय और उत्तरी अमेरिकी आपूर्तिकर्ताओं को नुकसान पहुंचाते हुए, भारत ने एशिया और मध्य पूर्व में महत्वपूर्ण बाजार हिस्सेदारी प्राप्त की, जो मूल्य-वर्धन प्रसंस्करण क्षेत्र में एक उच्च श्रेणी के प्रतिस्पर्धी के रूप में अपनी उपस्थिति का संकेत था। उत्पादन परिदृश्य: विकास के लिए एक आधार भारत के 2025 के व्यापार प्रदर्शन की नींव एक मजबूत उत्पादन आधार थी। भारत के कृषि मंत्रालय द्वारा जून 2025 में जारी आधिकारिक आंकड़ों...
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